Trump unveils another incentive for retirement savings

In his State of the Union speech in February, the president floated the idea of a new retirement savings vehicle for lower-income Americans without workplace plans. Last week, the president signed an executive order making good. On his promise.

His executive order aims to establish an annual $1,000 match for individuals earning less than $35,000 per year who contribute to an Individual Retirement Account (IRA). The only caveat is that they cannot have an employer-sponsored 401(K) type plan at their job.

Say what you will, Donald Trump is trying to do something about Americans' subpar retirement savings rate. He knows (as we all do) that Social Security is in trouble and probably won’t be around for much longer. This new effort follows another incentive called the Trump Accounts, which are new custodial -style traditional IRAs for kids.

This new executive action will launch a new website called TrumpIRA.gov, where workers can research, compare, and enroll in private-sector retirement plans. The hope is that the website will serve as a conduit between workers and plan sponsors, with the government acting as the broker.

More than 56 million Americans lack access to an employer-sponsored retirement plan at their place of employment, according to research by the Pew Charitable Trusts, an independent public policy nonprofit organization. And yet, nothing prevents any American worker from setting up an IRA and making tax-deductible contributions right now. So why don’t they do it?

Many workers say they cannot save for retirement, especially as inflation reduces their paychecks. Others find the application process too complicated or paperwork heavy. Some do not bother because they already have employer retirement plans. For many, retirement seems unreachable due to their background and income.

In 2015, Barack Obama launched a $70 million program allowing workers to make automatic payroll contributions to a government-backed retirement account. It closed 17 months later, after only 30,000 workers enrolled and contributed $34 million. It hasn’t improved since.

The facts are that since 2020, as the financial markets roared higher, participation by lower-income workers in employer-sponsored retirement plans declined, even as their access to plans increased. The number of workers who opened accounts decreased by 8%. For many, the myth that Social Security will still be there in the future to take care of them persists, although confidence in that assumption has declined from 43% to 36%, according to AARP.

Truth be told, the president is simply hitching his wagon to a Biden-era plan called the Saver’s Match, a provision from the 2022 legislation known as Secure 2.0. Under that legislation, single taxpayers with a modified adjusted gross income of up to $20,500 (joint filers, up to $41,000) qualify for a government match of up to $2,000 on a qualified retirement account contribution. The saver would receive a $1,000 match per year.

Single filers with annual incomes of between $20,500 and $35,500 (joint filers up to $71,000) would qualify, but for a reduced matching contribution. Trump would like to up the qualifying salary range. I suspect he is also hoping that the name “Trump” on this new website might attract more lower-income workers to at least consider saving.

His plan to increase the cap to $35,000 would require congressional approval. “To take it to the next level, we need congressional approval, which should be very easy to get. It should be bipartisan,” Trump said. He is probably correct, since there is bipartisan support for persuading more low- to moderate-income people to open employee-sponsored plans.

There are already several proposals in Congress, such as the Retirement Savings for Americans Act and the Automatic IRA Act, that confront this issue. Readers know I've analyzed these measures in previous columns. The hope is that by sweetening the incentives to save, more Americans will become committed to saving for retirement. Given the grim state of Social Security, we'd better hope so, or future generations of retirees may erupt in protest.

Bill Schmick is a founding partner of Onota Partners, Inc., in the Berkshires.  Bill’s forecasts and opinions are purely his own and do not necessarily represent the views of Onota Partners Inc.  None of his commentary is or should be considered investment advice.  Direct your inquiries to his website at www.schmicksretiredinvestor.com. Investments in securities are not insured, protected or guaranteed and may result in loss of income and/or principal.